Project Brazil / Static Reform Kill-Circuit Plate

改革阻断电路：
四条改革如何熄灭

这版去掉交互，把四条改革路径同时呈现。每条电路从 Executive 往右走：绿色通过，黄色摩擦，红色阻断，红色之后的下游关口变灰。读者一眼就能比较每项改革死在哪个具体闸门。

static comparison plate 4 reform circuits first kill gate visible matrix as audit layer
Static Figure

改革不是抽象失败，而是在不同闸门失去原形。

静态版更适合放进报告：四条改革电路同时出现，读者不用点击就能看出土地改革、媒体监管、军方问责与财政再分配的失败机制并不相同。

Static reform kill-circuit comparison Four reform circuits showing pass, friction, kill gate, and downstream failure gates. Reform kill-circuits: where policy dies Each row is a reform path. The first red gate is where the original reform ceases to travel intact. Executive Coalition Committee Budget Courts Media / pulpit Outcome Land reform / 土地改革 Territorial power enters Congress before redistribution reaches land. 1promise XFPA veto -ruralist -INCRA thin -Marco Temporal -order frame -contained dies at coalition Media regulation / 媒体监管 The signal controls the politics of regulating the signal. !agenda fear Xowners -licenses -low spend -speech claims -backlash -toxic dies at coalition Military accountability / 军方问责 Civilian authority enters a circuit already wired by the transition pact. !caution Xpact -defense lobby -pensions -amnesty -order myth -immunity dies at coalition Fiscal reallocation / 财政再分配 Policy desire survives politics for a while, then hits the fiscal floor. 1policy desire !pork demand !sector claims Xfiscal floor -rights claims -markets -residual dies at budget Reading rule: red marks the first gate where the reform no longer travels intact; grey gates are downstream constraints that shape the aftermath.
Pass Friction / dilution Kill gate Downstream after death
Audit Matrix

矩阵变成图下的审计层。

ReformFirst kill gateSecondary gatesMechanismResult
Land reformCoalition: FPA vetoCommittee, budget, courts, media framingTerritorial power enters Congress and blocks redistributive land policy.Contained before implementation.
Media regulationCoalition: owner-legislatorsCommittee, courts, agenda backlashRegulated actors are also political gatekeepers and agenda setters.Politically toxic before bill design matures.
Military accountabilityCoalition: transition pactBudget, courts, order mythThe institutions needed for accountability inherited the pact that forbids it.Immunity survives.
Fiscal reallocationBudget: fiscal floor lockedCoalition, courts, market pressurePre-committed spending turns democratic choice into residual allocation.Public investment remains residual.